Now, the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Bills. Microsoft may earn an Affiliate Commission if you purchase something through recommended links in this article. Sep 23, 2018; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins cheerleaders perform during a game against the Oakland Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium. This is Bills all the way. The Bills won their season opener by 10 points, and the Dolphins lost their first game by 10 points. The Bills defense has been one of the league’s best units under Sean McDermott, and the addition of Diggs has greatly increased Buffalo’s big-play ability on offense. +10.5. Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. Take the Bills for one unit despite the hefty road spread. Bet. This is a laughably small number. At the very worst, Zack Moss is a 50/50 split committee member. Best NFL Week 2 Promos: Bet $20, Win $150 if Giants or Bears Score a TD! Will DeVante Parker be able to find any success against lockdown corner Tre’Davious White? The Buffalo Bills are 5.5-point road favorites over the Miami Dolphins in Week 2. The offseason acquisition of wide receiver Stefon Diggs is already paying dividends. Bills at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction Prediction. And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? The Bills have won five of the last six meetings between the teams. Yes, the Bills will likely roll with the hot hand on a weekly basis, but in a contest that the BIlls are favored in, expecting Moss not to easily hit 38 rushing yards is just wild. They looked strong in the season opener against the Jets and should take care of business once again against a rebuilding Dolphins team. Bills vs. Dolphins Odds and Computer Picks (Week 2) AFC East foes meet when the Buffalo Bills (1-0) visit the Miami Dolphins (0-1) on Sunday, September 20, 2020 Hard Rock Stadium. The Miami Dolphins have some promising pieces on both sides of the ball but are easily a year away from competing. Will Ed Oliver finally turn the corner as an interior pass rusher? Mike Randle thinks that Buffalo has enough advantages all over the field to have value on Sunday. Meanwhile, Buffalo beat the New York Jets 27-17. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. The Dolphins struggled all game to limit the rushing output of New England quarterback Cam Newton (75 yards and two touchdowns). Despite the offseason acquisitions of Matt Breida and Jordan Howard, Myles Gaskin led the Dolphins rushing attack with just 40 yards. Bills Dolphins. Please try again. 2020 is essentially a season where fans will be waiting, and likely clamoring for Tua Tagovailoa to be inserted under center. -10.5. However, the initial lean, prior to analyzing the trend data, was that the under was still the play. You can only see the pick at SportsLine. Will Ryan Fitzpatrick make it through Week 2 as the starter? Can the Dolphins reverse the trend and find a way to grab a win against one of the favorites to win the AFC Championship? Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Odds & Game Pick (2020) by Raju Byfield September 19, 2020 It is true that this contest would be exponentially more exciting if Tua Tagovailoa were lining up under center, but there are still some storylines to compel the casual fan. -110. 5.5 points on the road is large, especially for a divisional matchup, but the Bills looked up to the task in Week 1. The Bills won their season opener by 10 points, and the Dolphins lost their first game by 10 points. Finally, seeing that the over is 4-0 in Dolphins last four home contests did me in. Can Zack Moss and Devin Singletary get going after struggling in Week 1? It is true that this contest would be exponentially more exciting if Tua Tagovailoa were lining up under center, but there are still some storylines to compel the casual fan. An over/under of 41.5 is set in the contest. Look for Buffalo’s defense to disrupt Fitzpatrick’s rhythm all game after he totaled three sacks, one interception and a fumble against the Jets last week. Quarterback Josh Allen put his versatility on display with an overall fantasy QB4 performance in a comfortable 27-17 Week 1 win over the Jets. Buffalo is one of the most balanced teams in … two years in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA. Let’s start with the total. +2.5. Buffalo is favored by 5.5 points in the latest Dolphins vs. Bills odds from William Hill, and the over-under is set at 41. Over Under. Check out Randle's full breakdown with updated odds below. The model enters Week 2 on an incredible 100-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 41 points or the 41.5 it is listed at BetMGM is a low number. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins NFL betting matchup for Sep 20, 2020. combined score: 50.0). The over is 5-1 in the Bills last six contests against the AFC East, another surprising trend. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams, a trend I definitely did not expect to see considering the states of these offenses over the past few years. Odds as of Sunday morning and via DraftKings. And the Dolphins may struggle to score again in Week 2, but at just 42 points needed to click, I’ll lay a one unit heave on the over. DeVante Parker (questionable, hamstring) had seven catches for 135 yards in the last meeting with the Bills. In last year’s 37-20 win at Miami, the Bills sacked Ryan Fitzpatrick seven times. The Bills are 4-12 SU in their last 16 road games vs teams with losing records. The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Bills’ last 9 games vs the Dolphins (avg. Yes, there are trends that suggest the under. Zack Moss 37.5 rushing yards (-111) ET on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. It went a perfect 4-0 on top-rated NFL picks in Week 1, including calling easy covers by the Ravens and Bills. Money line . Lead wide receiver DeVante Parker also exited the game with an injury and is listed as questionable for Week 2. With that being said, the trends are just too glaring to ignore the over as being the sharp play. A top level and exciting running back, he put up just 11 rushing yards on nine Week 1 carries so we are getting a steal of a number here. Both Myles Gaskin and Matt Breida were limited, and Miami averaged only 3.2 yards per carry as a team. -2.5. The Miami run defense was skewered for 217 yards and three touchdowns on the ground by the Patriots in Week 1. I am laying the 5.5 points in a game I see as a comfortable double-digit win for Buffalo. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet. Putting him out there to take hits when the ‘Suck for Sewell’ campaign is on in full effect makes little sense, especially when one considers that the Bills and Patriots will also be the Dolphins final two opponents of the season. The main threat for the Bills will be if they have to throw against Byron Jones and Xavien Howard when trailing. This is a laughably small number. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings... Buffalo Bills. I do believe that Preston Williams should be able to get going against the Bills, but one wide receiver alone is not going to be enough for the Dolphins to force a cover. SportsLine's model has simulated Dolphins vs. Bills 10,000 times and the results are in. We have seen the total creep slowly upwards, so we know that we are on the right track here as far as determining the smarter play for this contest. While it’s always tricky giving points on the road in a divisional matchup, Buffalo’s balanced offense and strong defensive play will be too much for Miami. Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks. Money Line. [Shop for the best lines with our NFL odds page]. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext. The Buffalo pass rush should also enjoy some success against the Miami offensive line. Check out FantasyPros for the best advice, content, and tools in the industry. This may be the one and only time we get to tap a Moss over prop at just 37.5 rushing yards. See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
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